H-1B lottery odds for your degree and attempts

Based on recent USCIS data, Master’s degree holders have roughly a 33% chance per year. Bachelor’s degree holders have roughly a 23% chance per year. These are approximations.

USCIS first runs a lottery for 20,000 Master’s cap slots. Those not selected are then entered into the regular 65,000 cap lottery, giving Master’s holders two chances.

Yes. Each year is an independent draw. Over 3 attempts, even a 23% single-year probability becomes roughly 54% cumulative. The system rewards persistence.

If your OPT expires before H-1B results are known, the cap-gap extends your work authorization until October 1 if your employer filed a timely H-1B petition.

No. This is a statistical estimation tool. For your specific immigration situation, consult your DSO or an immigration attorney.